Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 4.988815 5.397305 5.841068 6.362154 6.961451 7.634263 8.454145
2025-08-03 4.353037 4.909131 5.556284 6.377455 7.410522 8.694580 10.458662
2025-08-10 3.897757 4.510365 5.255092 6.250021 7.582841 9.369955 12.073595
2025-08-17 3.544233 4.175779 4.967684 6.066318 7.610103 9.808988 13.418751
2025-08-24 3.299337 3.945715 4.777562 5.969668 7.717299 10.349118 15.027554
2025-08-31 3.156334 3.829900 4.719172 6.035838 8.052612 11.277326 17.554110
2025-09-07 3.018573 3.707100 4.635783 6.049708 8.300578 12.102055 20.182021
2025-09-14 2.826133 3.495826 4.410818 5.827869 8.138671 12.181196 21.299933
2025-09-21 2.681386 3.340800 4.253527 5.691899 8.096766 12.464174 22.986555
2025-09-28 2.570104 3.225393 4.144363 5.618524 8.147898 12.927911 25.321758
2025-10-05 2.490015 3.149028 4.086266 5.618965 8.325049 13.675322 28.822862
2025-10-12 2.451503 3.129257 4.109703 5.751589 8.756747 15.058611 35.233327
2025-10-19 2.410404 3.106134 4.130385 5.888790 9.233963 16.725727 44.600227
2025-10-26 2.340845 3.037797 4.077361 5.895977 9.460802 17.878855 53.657078
2025-11-02 2.250380 2.933769 3.961843 5.782823 9.424610 18.344642 60.210749
2025-11-09 2.156118 2.819978 3.824738 5.620281 9.263635 18.431523 64.935430
2025-11-16 2.084613 2.737727 3.733924 5.534652 9.258262 18.970663 73.966106
2025-11-23 2.047333 2.705893 3.722515 5.593282 9.579489 20.605882 96.822260
2025-11-30 2.003389 2.661733 3.688184 5.605566 9.797148 22.011039 125.335331
2025-12-07 1.922547 2.557371 3.549398 5.408855 9.498014 21.561087 129.062995
2025-12-14 1.860252 2.480072 3.452811 5.288031 9.369815 21.700483 143.850593
2025-12-21 1.811743 2.422714 3.387118 5.222748 9.369096 22.316017 172.976990
2025-12-28 1.777664 2.386872 3.356054 5.223139 9.531653 23.630947 236.979643